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The Summer Box Office Challenge is Finally Here (Read 12376 times)

machoasasquatcho New Member Offline EZ1 Productions Fan Posts: 36 Joined: May 5^th, 2016	Re: The Summer Box Office Challenge is Finally Here Reply #15 - Jun 4^th, 2018 at 2:43pm	Print Post
	Well, Action Point just knocked me out of the game. I thought it might do on par with a Jackass movie, plus I really enjoyed the documentary that inspired it. Oh well.


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The EZ1 Forum Administrator Offline Posts: 831 Location: Wisconsin Joined: May 27^th, 2015 Gender:	Re: The Summer Box Office Challenge is Finally Here Reply #16 - Jun 5^th, 2018 at 12:31pm	Print Post
	machoasasquatcho wrote on Jun 4^th, 2018 at 2:43pm: Well, Action Point just knocked me out of the game. I thought it might do on par with a Jackass movie, plus I really enjoyed the documentary that inspired it. Oh well. I think we just saw the end of Johnny Knoxville's career.

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SolC9 Full Member Offline EZ1 Productions Fan Posts: 143 Joined: Aug 28^th, 2015 Gender:	Re: The Summer Box Office Challenge is Finally Here Reply #17 - Jun 10^th, 2018 at 11:07am	Print Post
	Showdown is a nail-biter this weekend. With WOM/cinemascore, I wouldn't be surprised if Ocean's pulled it out over Heredity (D+ cinemascore, ouch), even though Heredity has the advantage with estimates.


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burnitdown New Member Offline EZ1 Productions Fan Posts: 13 Joined: Nov 7^th, 2017	Re: The Summer Box Office Challenge is Finally Here Reply #18 - Jun 21^st, 2018 at 4:59pm	Print Post
	Anyone else terrible at speculation haha? I've only made 10m so far, I need me some clues!


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Keith Full Member Offline EZ1 Productions Fan Posts: 201 Joined: Aug 26^th, 2015 Gender:	Re: The Summer Box Office Challenge is Finally Here Reply #19 - Jun 22^nd, 2018 at 2:18pm	Print Post
	haha!


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SolC9 Full Member Offline EZ1 Productions Fan Posts: 143 Joined: Aug 28^th, 2015 Gender:	Re: The Summer Box Office Challenge is Finally Here Reply #20 - Jul 27^th, 2018 at 12:12pm	Print Post
	Wow, I am in the vast minority on Teen Titans. Almost everyone bet on it for the showdown to beat Equalizer by at least 1M, and well over 40% kept it and I didn't. I'm thinking a 10-15M opening. It did do 1M in previews, but it's summer, previews started at 4pm, and it's comic based. All that leads me to think that the multiplier from the preview number won't be as big as a normal animated movie. If I'm right, I just got a leg up on the competition, especially if there's a gem or two left that can't be afforded by someone else because they bought Teens. If I'm wrong, it's my first major mistake of the game and likely puts me out of the running for a top 3 spot. Of course I kept Mission. Reviews and early WOM are amazing and even if it's opening doesn't WOW, it should hold up well for the genre in the coming weeks.


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theBigE Full Member Offline Posts: 186 Joined: Aug 27^th, 2015 Gender:	Re: The Summer Box Office Challenge is Finally Here Reply #21 - Jul 27^th, 2018 at 3:28pm	Print Post
	SolC9 wrote on Jul 27^th, 2018 at 12:12pm: Wow, I am in the vast minority on Teen Titans. Almost everyone bet on it for the showdown to beat Equalizer by at least 1M, and well over 40% kept it and I didn't. I'm thinking a 10-15M opening. It did do 1M in previews, but it's summer, previews started at 4pm, and it's comic based. All that leads me to think that the multiplier from the preview number won't be as big as a normal animated movie. If I'm right, I just got a leg up on the competition, especially if there's a gem or two left that can't be afforded by someone else because they bought Teens. If I'm wrong, it's my first major mistake of the game and likely puts me out of the running for a top 3 spot. Of course I kept Mission. Reviews and early WOM are amazing and even if it's opening doesn't WOW, it should hold up well for the genre in the coming weeks. Early early numbers say Teen Titans will do $15M+ this weekend, EQ2 getting $13M, with MI:Fallout getting $60M. I screwed up taking Ant-Man.


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theBigE Full Member Offline Posts: 186 Joined: Aug 27^th, 2015 Gender:	Re: The Summer Box Office Challenge is Finally Here Reply #22 - Jul 28^th, 2018 at 8:58am	Print Post
	And now Teen Titans down to $10M. Thanks a lot, box office preview sites!


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SolC9 Full Member Offline EZ1 Productions Fan Posts: 143 Joined: Aug 28^th, 2015 Gender:	Re: The Summer Box Office Challenge is Finally Here Reply #23 - Jul 28^th, 2018 at 11:00am	Print Post
	Teen Titans was very preview heavy it seems. Might not make much more than 11M. EQ2 was hit hard by MI6, but should still make 13M or so. Too early to call, but early numbers now favor EQ2 in the showdown.


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Keith Full Member Offline EZ1 Productions Fan Posts: 201 Joined: Aug 26^th, 2015 Gender:	Re: The Summer Box Office Challenge is Finally Here Reply #24 - Aug 10^th, 2018 at 10:46am	Print Post
	"Last chance...a leading candidate for the Academy's New Popular Film Award?" ha!


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SolC9 Full Member Offline EZ1 Productions Fan Posts: 143 Joined: Aug 28^th, 2015 Gender:	Re: The Summer Box Office Challenge is Finally Here Reply #25 - Aug 10^th, 2018 at 1:37pm	Print Post
	I was left with a sucky decision to make. I really wanted to keep Crazy next week, but that would have left me only Alpha. Given the strong previews, I kept MEG, and sqeaked out a movie I didn't want to keep, Slender Man. Now my game is over, and I'm really hoping Crazy is overhyped and Meg not too front loaded.


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burnitdown New Member Offline EZ1 Productions Fan Posts: 13 Joined: Nov 7^th, 2017	Re: The Summer Box Office Challenge is Finally Here Reply #26 - Aug 11^th, 2018 at 2:49pm	Print Post
	So, I will have made 7m in speculation and 33m from showdowns haha Terrible at specs I think keeping Ant-man over Mamma Mia/Equalizer was the changing point. I thought Ant-man was the safer option Back to back for Top of the Mountain?


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burnitdown New Member Offline EZ1 Productions Fan Posts: 13 Joined: Nov 7^th, 2017	Re: The Summer Box Office Challenge is Finally Here Reply #27 - Aug 21^st, 2018 at 7:26pm	Print Post
	wow, congrats Top of the Mountain! It might be the most dominant season, top total and ROI


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Timeless New Member Offline EZ1 Productions Fan Posts: 18 Location: Hong Kong Joined: Nov 14^th, 2015 Gender:	Re: The Summer Box Office Challenge is Finally Here Reply #28 - Aug 22^nd, 2018 at 11:02am	Print Post
	Congrats Sol, my game ended when Ant man bombed but even if I hadn't pick Ant man I still couldn't catch up anyway. Hope to stay in Top 3, but probably will fall to 5....


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SolC9 Full Member Offline EZ1 Productions Fan Posts: 143 Joined: Aug 28^th, 2015 Gender:	Re: The Summer Box Office Challenge is Finally Here Reply #29 - Aug 22^nd, 2018 at 2:14pm	Print Post
	It's likely I'll finish at the top, but Chicago could make it interesting having both Crazy and Alpha, and getting a 4 day holiday with both in two weeks. The difference between us is 62.44M. We both have Meg so that one doesn't matter. Only I have Slenderman, so that gives me about another 2M this weekend. So a difference of 64.44Mish. Chicago would have to make that up with CRA and Alpha over the next two weekends. Tough, but not impossible with the holiday. Alpha could make around 13M during that time. So CRA would need around 51.44M in the next two weekends. If it dropped 20% this weekend and had a 30% bump from the holiday, it would make 48.76M. That's way too close for comfort given it's a WOM hit.


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